The hosts look value in Tuesday's League Two clash at the Globe Arena.
Morecambe v Accrington - Tuesday 19:45
These two Lancashire rivals prepared for this midweek derby tussle in remarkably similar fashion - with a mammoth journey down to the south west at the weekend. Morecambe were beaten 1-0 at Plymouth, while Accrington held out for a 1-1 draw at Yeovil. But the key difference might be that John Coleman’s men played over an hour with 10 men, so the home win appeals here at 27/10.
It was anything but an unusual position for Stanley. The early red card issued to Scott Brown at Huish Park was their eighth of the campaign and the fifth inside 45 minutes, meaning they’ve played more than six hours of the campaign at a numerical disadvantage. Given that level of practice, it was perhaps no surprise they held firm against the Glovers.
But there’s very little precedent for a quick turnaround following such a backs-to-the-wall display - five of the previous seven red cards were followed by a blank midweek - and there’s enough uncertainty to believe Jim Bentley’s men are worth chancing at such a big price. My ratings - both 16-match and 24-match samples - make the home win no bigger than 11/5.
There’s an argument to say home advantage is negligible at the Globe Arena for various logistical reasons regarding where the Morecambe players base themselves but home wins over Portsmouth, Blackpool and Plymouth show they rarely have trouble raising their game for big opponents - and there’s nobody Morecambe want to beat more than Accrington.100% Bonus Up to £200